Extrapolation is dangerous, yes. Usually, people make models, and assume that the future will behave like the model says.
Models depends on parameters, which are estimated with present or past observations. So you don't "predict" anything, you only fit a model.
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Dec 18 '10 at Alexandra C: I am talking about data that is known to repeat itself. Pablo Pablo 1 1 gold badge 8 8 silver badges 25 25 bronze badges. Hi the link you have provided is broken. Can you please post again if possible or If you have? Thank you. Very interesting but wouldn't you want to bias the prediction with more weight on the last half more recent values given? That is try this with data that is a flat line for the first half but a slopped line for the other half.
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The sloped line should have more emphasis that the flat part. Sign up or log in Sign up using Google.
Transient Series 3: Fourier Transform
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How To Identify Patterns in Time Series Data: Time Series Analysis
When expressing Zrs as a power spectral density PSD , such features suggest the application of a time series spectral estimation approach. What People are Saying About This From the Publisher "These two new books are both new editions of time series classics that will be welcomed by practitioners.
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USD Temporarily Out of Stock Online Please check back later for updated availability. Overview Long recognized for his unique focus on frequency domain methods for the analysis of time series data as well as for his applied, easy-to-follow approach, Peter Bloomfield brings his well-known work thoroughly up to date.
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He provides an invaluable reference for statisticians seeking to expand their understanding of frequency domain methods and easy access to sophisticated statistical tools for scientists and professionals in areas utilizing time series data, including atmospheric science, oceanography, climatology, and biology.